Trump The Most Likely Candidate To Lead GOP?

Trump The Most Likely Candidate To Lead GOP?

( – Now that the 2022 midterm elections are in the rearview mirror, America is beginning to look ahead to the 2024 presidential primaries and election. Pollsters and prognosticators are trying to glean a look into the future. A week after the November 8 votes were counted, former President Donald Trump announced he was running for the White House. President Joe Biden has said he intends to run for re-election but said he would make an announcement one way or another at a later time.

In mid-November, a Harvard CAPS Harris survey reported the favorability of numerous politicians. Pollsters considered gender, race, marital status, political party, political ideology, and other factors in how they weighted the scores. Trump scored the highest for favorability. Still, does that make him the most likely to lead the GOP in 2024?

2024 Presidential Hopeful Scores Highest Among Politicians

The poll noted Trump took the top spot with a 44% favorability rating. Still, 49% viewed him unfavorably, giving him a -5 favorability gap. Second place was a tie between Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and President Biden. Both scored a 43% favorability score, but the core difference between the two was in their unfavorability. Sanders scored 41% for a +2 gap. Biden managed a 50% unfavorable for a -7 gap, which was two points worse than Trump.

The top five concluded with Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis garnering a 41% favorable and 33% unfavorable score for a +8 favorability gap. He was followed closely by former Vice President Mike Pence at 40% and 41%, respectively, with a -1 gap.

Will Trump’s Favorability Lead Help Him?

Despite the former president’s favorability lead in the Harvard CAPS Harris poll, things may not look so good for him of late. The 2024 hopeful intended to use the midterm results as a sign of political strength. In seven races Trump’s PAC supported candidates he endorsed, only one came out on top. While JD Vance won his bid for the US Senate in Ohio, candidates for Arizona governor and Senate, Michigan governor, Nevada Senate, Georgia Senate, and Pennsylvania Senate all lost their elections.

In addition, he’s faced several other challenges, including losses in the courtroom and a statement about terminating parts of the US Constitution due to wrongdoings in the 2020 presidential election.

On Tuesday, December 13, a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that support among GOP voters eroded for Trump. Two-thirds of Republican voters and those who lean Republican prefer DeSantis, 56% to 33%. Still, 61% said they want to continue the former president’s policies.

There is a lot of time to go before voters start making decisions in February 2024, and much can happen between now and then. There will undoubtedly be surprises no one can anticipate as the year draws to a close.

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