The 2018 elections saw a massive shift in control. Democrats took the House, while Republicans took the Senate, a change that will undoubtedly cause tensions between the two sides in coming months. In critical swing states, tiny adjustments in support from the Left and Right also produced change. In fact, several flipped to the opposite side altogether, taking Republicans and Democrats by surprise. Here’s what the map looks like now.
• Ohio, considered an important source of support for Republicans, grew that support significantly. The GOP successfully took both of the two available seats, beating back Dems.
• However, Ohio’s shifting political picture wasn’t quite as exciting as it was when Trump stepped into office. At the time, Trump won by eight points; this time, they won by just four points.
• In Ohio’s race for governor, results were predicted to be extremely close. However, Republican candidate Mike DeWine successfully won enough support to secure his place.
• Despite the win, Ohio, which is 79 percent caucasian, did show signs of increasing support for Democrats. But the support was limited to specific populations – namely people of color and people with a college education.
• So, why is the state still Republican? Ohio has a lower number of Hispanic and college-educated people (with bachelor’s degrees) than the rest of the nation. While Democrats managed to drum up support, it wasn’t enough per capita.
• In Colorado, another classic swing state with even support from both sides, Democrats turned the election around to secure a win. Democrat Jared Polis won enough support to replace John Hickenlooper, also a Democrat.
• This is trend we’ve seen before. Colorado has been trending to the Left for some time. At the end of the Clinton campaign, Hillary came out on top over Trump by nearly 5 points. This time around, Dems secured an additional 10.
• Again, here, we saw the effects of voters with at least a bachelor’s degree, and the Hispanic vote also played a role. In fact, Colorado has nearly four percent more Hispanic citizens than the national average, and nearly nine percent more college graduates.
• What can we infer from this? While there’s no proof just yet, states where the percentage of white Americans is lower than the national average may also be in jeopardy. And states with a higher number of college graduates? Republicans may need to fight harder for them, too. Georgia and Arizona are likely to become critical battlegrounds for the GOP and Democrats alike.